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Denmark Fourth Division. Matchday 12

Tårnby FF Karlslunde
12 ELO 9
2% Tilt 159%
7115º General ELO ranking 8218º
57º Country ELO ranking 70º
ELO win probability
20.2%
Tårnby FF
17.9%
Draw
61.9%
Karlslunde

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
Tårnby FF
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.5%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
61.9%
Win probability
Karlslunde
2.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.4%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
3.5%
3-5
0.9%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
17.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1.8%
3-6
0.4%
4-7
0%
-3
12%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tårnby FF
+22%
+112%
Karlslunde

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Karlslunde
47
47
100%
Frederikssund IK
38
38
100%
Ishøj
35
35
100%
Køge Nord
31
31
100%
Tårnby FF
30
30
50%
KFUM
30
30
50%
BK Union
28
28
100%
Ballerup-Skovlunde
26
26
100%
Fremad Valby
17
17
100%
Husum
10º
14
14
10º
100%
Avedøre
11º
13
13
11º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tårnby FF
Karlslunde
Champion
0% 100%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
100% 0%

ELO progression

Tårnby FF
TAR
Karlslunde
KAR
Husum
HUS
Ishøj
IIF
KFUM
KFU
B 1908
B19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tårnby FF
Tårnby FF
1%
X%
2%
ELO TAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2020
TAR
Tårnby FF
1 - 1
Avedøre
AVE
49%
26%
25%
180 64 116 0
17 Oct. 2020
FRE
Frederikssund IK
4 - 3
Tårnby FF
TAR
42%
28%
31%
181 57 -124 -1
10 Oct. 2020
TAR
Tårnby FF
2 - 0
BK Union
BOL
47%
27%
26%
180 111 69 +1
03 Oct. 2020
FRE
Fremad Valby
3 - 1
Tårnby FF
TAR
42%
27%
31%
181 39 -142 -1
19 Sep. 2020
HUS
Husum
1 - 1
Tårnby FF
TAR
51%
25%
23%
181 342 161 0

Matches

Karlslunde
Karlslunde
1%
X%
2%
ELO KAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Oct. 2020
KAR
Karlslunde
2 - 1
Ballerup-Skovlunde
BAL
47%
27%
26%
142 84 58 +1
17 Oct. 2020
AVE
Avedøre
0 - 3
Karlslunde
KAR
44%
27%
29%
141 65 -76 +1
10 Oct. 2020
KAR
Karlslunde
2 - 1
Frederikssund IK
FRE
47%
27%
26%
140 57 83 +1
03 Oct. 2020
BOL
BK Union
0 - 2
Karlslunde
KAR
46%
27%
28%
140 112 -28 +1
26 Sep. 2020
KAR
Karlslunde
2 - 0
Fremad Valby
FRE
47%
27%
26%
139 41 98 +1