noscript image

Denmark Fourth Division. Matchday 17

Tårnby FF Husum
12 ELO 27
24% Tilt 45%
7115º General ELO ranking 4974º
57º Country ELO ranking 48º
ELO win probability
39.3%
Tårnby FF
23.4%
Draw
37.3%
Husum

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
Tårnby FF
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
37.3%
Win probability
Husum
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tårnby FF
+32%
+21%
Husum

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Karlslunde
47
47
100%
Frederikssund IK
38
38
100%
Ishøj
35
35
100%
Køge Nord
31
31
100%
Tårnby FF
30
30
50%
KFUM
30
30
50%
BK Union
28
28
100%
Ballerup-Skovlunde
26
26
100%
Fremad Valby
17
17
100%
Husum
10º
14
14
10º
100%
Avedøre
11º
13
13
11º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tårnby FF
Husum
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
100% 100%

ELO progression

Tårnby FF
TAR
Husum
HUS
B 1908
B19
Taastrup FC
TAA
Skjold Birkerød
SKJ
Allerød
ALL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tårnby FF
Tårnby FF
1%
X%
2%
ELO TAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2021
IIF
Ishøj
2 - 3
Tårnby FF
TAR
41%
28%
31%
180 123 -57 0
24 Oct. 2020
TAR
Tårnby FF
1 - 1
Avedøre
AVE
49%
26%
25%
180 64 116 0
17 Oct. 2020
FRE
Frederikssund IK
4 - 3
Tårnby FF
TAR
42%
28%
31%
181 57 -124 -1
10 Oct. 2020
TAR
Tårnby FF
2 - 0
BK Union
BOL
47%
27%
26%
180 111 69 +1
03 Oct. 2020
FRE
Fremad Valby
3 - 1
Tårnby FF
TAR
42%
27%
31%
181 39 -142 -1

Matches

Husum
Husum
1%
X%
2%
ELO HUS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2021
HUS
Husum
3 - 12
Karlslunde
KAR
53%
25%
22%
342 143 199 0
17 Oct. 2020
BAL
Ballerup-Skovlunde
2 - 4
Husum
HUS
39%
27%
34%
341 85 -256 +1
11 Oct. 2020
IIF
Ishøj
4 - 1
Husum
HUS
40%
28%
32%
343 121 -222 -1
03 Oct. 2020
HUS
Husum
2 - 1
Køge Nord
KON
53%
25%
22%
342 133 209 +1
26 Sep. 2020
KFU
KFUM
2 - 2
Husum
HUS
40%
28%
32%
342 123 -219 0