Tanzania vs South Africa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
60.4%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.9%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
MOZ
2 - 0
TZA
41%
27%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
TZA
2 - 1
CAF
80%
14%
6%
|
64 | 9 | 55 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
TZA
1 - 0
PSE
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2011 |
EGY
5 - 1
TZA
83%
12%
5%
|
63 | 89 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2010 |
TZA
5 - 4
UGA
26%
26%
48%
|
63 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
South Africa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ZAF
1 - 0
EGY
33%
30%
38%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
ZAF
0 - 2
DZA
61%
25%
14%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ZAF
2 - 1
ZWE
67%
21%
12%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
ZAF
2 - 0
NER
86%
10%
3%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2011 |
ZAF
2 - 0
KEN
74%
18%
8%
|
85 | 60 | 25 | 0 |