Tanzania vs Burundi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
22.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
LBY
2 - 1
TZA
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
TZA
2 - 1
GNQ
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2019 |
SDN
1 - 2
TZA
49%
25%
26%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
RWA
0 - 0
TZA
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
TZA
0 - 1
SDN
41%
27%
32%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Burundi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2019 |
BDI
0 - 3
MAR
14%
25%
60%
|
55 | 86 | 31 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2019 |
CAF
2 - 0
BDI
11%
17%
72%
|
55 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
UGA
3 - 0
BDI
58%
24%
17%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
BDI
0 - 3
UGA
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
TZA
1 - 1
BDI
45%
26%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |