Tanzania vs Malawi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
30.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tanzania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
TZA
1 - 1
LSO
47%
25%
28%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
TZA
2 - 1
BDI
41%
26%
34%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
TZA
2 - 0
BWA
34%
28%
39%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ZWE
3 - 0
TZA
57%
25%
18%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
NGA
1 - 0
TZA
79%
15%
6%
|
55 | 85 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Malawi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
MWI
1 - 0
COM
79%
15%
6%
|
58 | 21 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
MWI
0 - 1
MDG
47%
25%
27%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MDG
1 - 0
MWI
34%
27%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
KEN
0 - 0
MWI
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
MWI
1 - 0
SWZ
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |