Tamworth vs Leamington analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
19%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ILK
0 - 2
TAM
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
RUS
1 - 3
TAM
14%
19%
67%
|
42 | 22 | 20 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
TAM
2 - 2
BED
74%
17%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
NUN
1 - 1
TAM
32%
26%
42%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2022 |
RUS
2 - 2
TAM
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Leamington
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2022 |
LEA
0 - 0
BRA
21%
27%
52%
|
40 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
BOS
3 - 0
LEA
58%
23%
20%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
LEA
0 - 2
PET
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
LEA
1 - 0
BIS
22%
25%
53%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
CHE
1 - 1
LEA
63%
22%
16%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |