Tamworth vs Hitchin Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.1%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
6.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
TAM
1 - 3
LEI
70%
17%
12%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
NOT
4 - 0
TAM
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TAM
0 - 0
NOT
25%
23%
52%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
TAM
4 - 0
STO
72%
17%
11%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
RUS
1 - 2
TAM
34%
26%
40%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Hitchin Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
HIT
0 - 1
STR
25%
22%
53%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2021 |
STI
1 - 0
HIT
27%
23%
50%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HIT
1 - 6
NEE
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2021 |
HIT
0 - 2
COA
14%
21%
65%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
HED
2 - 2
HIT
55%
22%
23%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |