FA Cup . Previa 3

Tamworth vs Alvechurch FC analysis

Tamworth Alvechurch FC
42 ELO 27
9.2% Tilt -11%
2827º General ELO ranking 6595º
99º Country ELO ranking 336º
ELO win probability
74.8%
Tamworth
16%
Draw
9.2%
Alvechurch FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.8%
Win probability
Tamworth
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.2%
Win probability
Alvechurch FC
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO progression

Tamworth
Alvechurch FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tamworth
Tamworth
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2021
TAM
Tamworth
3 - 0
Nuneaton Town
NUN
74%
15%
11%
41 30 11 0
28 Aug. 2021
RED
Redditch United
0 - 2
Tamworth
TAM
23%
23%
54%
41 25 16 0
21 Aug. 2021
TAM
Tamworth
6 - 1
Lowestoft Town
LOW
73%
16%
12%
39 27 12 +2
17 Aug. 2021
TAM
Tamworth
1 - 1
Coalville Town
COA
39%
25%
37%
39 44 5 0
14 Aug. 2021
ROY
Royston Town
3 - 0
Tamworth
TAM
58%
22%
20%
41 43 2 -2

Matches

Alvechurch FC
Alvechurch FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Aug. 2021
ALV
Alvechurch FC
1 - 0
Redditch United
RED
52%
22%
26%
26 24 2 0
28 Aug. 2021
LOW
Lowestoft Town
3 - 2
Alvechurch FC
ALV
45%
25%
30%
27 27 0 -1
21 Aug. 2021
ALV
Alvechurch FC
0 - 1
Hednesford Town
HED
35%
24%
42%
28 33 5 -1
17 Aug. 2021
ALV
Alvechurch FC
3 - 0
Bromsgrove Sporting
BRO
24%
20%
56%
25 33 8 +3
14 Aug. 2021
STI
St Ives Town
1 - 0
Alvechurch FC
ALV
35%
25%
40%
26 22 4 -1
X