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Meistriliiga. Temporada Regular, Matchday 16

Tammeka vs Vaprus Pärnu analysis

Tammeka Vaprus Pärnu
20 ELO 26
-24% Tilt -10%
7344º General ELO ranking 5759º
27º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
34.6%
Tammeka
31.9%
Draw
33.6%
Vaprus Pärnu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
Tammeka
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
31.9%
Draw
0-0
15%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
31.9%
33.6%
Win probability
Vaprus Pärnu
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Tammeka
-5%
+19%
Vaprus Pärnu

Basic stats

51
49
POS
12
6
SOT
6
3
COR
2
2
GF
2
2
GC
10
11
FRK
20
26
ELO
1
0.9
EXP
Key
POS
Ball possession
SOT
Total shots
COR
Corners
GF
Goals for
GC
Goals against
FRK
Fouls received
ELO
Team's ELO rating
EXP
Expected goals for the team

Points and table prediction

Tammeka
Their league position
Vaprus Pärnu
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
10º
15
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Levadia
67
67
100%
FC Flora Tallin
64
64
100%
Paide
53
53
100%
Nomme Kalju
43
43
100%
TJK Legion
38
38
100%
Trans
29
29
100%
Kuressaare
28
28
10%
Tulevik Viljandi
27
28
64%
Tammeka
19
19
100%
Vaprus Pärnu
10º
15
17
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
Tammeka
Vaprus Pärnu
Champion
0% 0%
Europa Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation playoffs
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Tammeka
TAM
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
FC Flora Tallin
FLO
Tulevik Viljandi
TUL
Paide
PAI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Tammeka
Tammeka
1%
X%
2%
ELO TAM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 May. 2021
TAM
Tammeka
2 - 2
Nomme Kalju
KAL
34%
27%
39%
256 920 -664 +1
27 Oct. 2021
FLO
FC Flora Tallin
9 - 0
Tammeka
TAM
63%
20%
16%
256 1102 846 0
08 May. 2021
TAM
Tammeka
0 - 1
Kuressaare
KUR
41%
28%
32%
259 390 -131 -3
05 May. 2021
TRA
Trans
2 - 1
Tammeka
TAM
55%
25%
21%
262 648 386 -2
02 May. 2021
TAM
Tammeka
1 - 2
Levadia
LEV
29%
26%
45%
263 970 -707 -2

Matches

Vaprus Pärnu
Vaprus Pärnu
1%
X%
2%
ELO PAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 May. 2021
PAI
Paide
2 - 1
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
56%
24%
20%
316 721 405 -2
19 May. 2021
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
1 - 7
Nomme Kalju
KAL
31%
26%
43%
320 916 -596 -4
15 May. 2021
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
0 - 4
Levadia
LEV
34%
27%
39%
324 983 -659 -3
11 May. 2021
TJK
TJK Legion
7 - 1
Vaprus Pärnu
PAR
50%
26%
24%
330 544 214 -6
25 Apr. 2021
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu
1 - 3
Paide
PAI
37%
28%
36%
333 721 -388 -4