Tammeka vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
56.1%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
8º
10º
9º
53
3º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
79 | 79 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
77 | 77 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 23 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tammeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
TAM
1 - 2
FLO
13%
22%
66%
|
56 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
KAL
4 - 1
TAM
63%
22%
16%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 3
TAM
14%
18%
68%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
TAM
3 - 0
TRA
34%
28%
39%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
KUR
1 - 1
TAM
55%
23%
22%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
TAL
2 - 1
PAI
24%
27%
50%
|
73 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
PAI
3 - 0
PAR
80%
13%
6%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 0
PAI
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
PAI
2 - 0
KAL
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
TRA
0 - 0
PAI
19%
27%
54%
|
72 | 58 | 14 | 0 |