Tamai vs Sacilese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.1%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.5%
9.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tamai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ITA
0 - 2
TAM
42%
26%
33%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TAM
4 - 2
CON
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
BEL
1 - 2
TAM
36%
27%
37%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
SOR
4 - 1
TAM
81%
13%
6%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
UNI
0 - 4
TAM
52%
25%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Sacilese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAC
1 - 2
LEG
28%
25%
47%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 2
SAC
63%
21%
16%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
SAC
0 - 1
VNZ
17%
22%
61%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
ACR
1 - 1
SAC
54%
25%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
SAC
1 - 1
LEO
29%
26%
45%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | +1 |