Tallinna Kalev II vs Tartu Welco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tallinna Kalev II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
NOM
1 - 2
TKA
14%
20%
66%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
FCT
2 - 2
TKA
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
TKA
4 - 1
TAM
64%
19%
18%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
TAB
3 - 0
TKA
63%
19%
18%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
TKA
0 - 2
TJK
82%
11%
6%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Tartu Welco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
TAB
1 - 1
WEL
72%
16%
12%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 3
LAH
73%
17%
11%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
WEL
5 - 1
NOM
78%
14%
8%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2022 |
FCT
3 - 1
WEL
62%
21%
17%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
FAT
0 - 3
WEL
47%
23%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +2 |