ASEAN Championship Semi-finals
Global 4-3
Thailand vs Philippines analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.9%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
15.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.4%
7%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Thailand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
PHL
2 - 1
THA
8%
15%
77%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
THA
3 - 2
KHM
81%
14%
6%
|
71 | 33 | 38 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2024 |
SGP
2 - 4
THA
11%
16%
73%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
THA
1 - 0
MAS
60%
22%
18%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
TLS
0 - 10
THA
4%
11%
84%
|
70 | 21 | 49 | 0 |
Matches
Philippines
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2024 |
PHL
2 - 1
THA
8%
15%
77%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
IDN
0 - 1
PHL
78%
14%
7%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2024 |
PHL
1 - 1
VIE
13%
19%
68%
|
45 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
LAO
1 - 1
PHL
13%
20%
68%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2024 |
PHL
1 - 1
MMR
59%
21%
20%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |