Taiarapu vs Dragon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
6.5%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
0.8%
2-1
1.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
4.4%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
0.7%
1-1
3.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
9.2%
84%
Win probability
3.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
4%
3-5
1.1%
4-6
0.2%
5-7
0%
-2
18.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
7.1%
2-5
3%
3-6
0.7%
4-7
0.1%
5-8
0%
-3
17.6%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
5.4%
2-6
1.9%
3-7
0.4%
4-8
0.1%
-4
14.1%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
3.4%
2-7
1%
3-8
0.2%
4-9
0%
-5
9.4%
0-6
3%
1-7
1.8%
2-8
0.5%
3-9
0.1%
-6
5.4%
0-7
1.6%
1-8
0.9%
2-9
0.2%
3-10
0%
-7
2.7%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.4%
2-10
0.1%
-8
1.2%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.5%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
6º
11º
9º
33
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
25 | 25 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
23 | 23 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
18 | 18 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
17 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
15 | 15 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
10 | 10 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 6 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
3 | 3 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 3 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
OFC Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taiarapu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
TEF
4 - 0
TFC
92%
5%
3%
|
14 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
TFC
1 - 6
TEF
4%
10%
86%
|
15 | 48 | 33 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
TFC
3 - 4
ASJ
49%
20%
30%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
TFC
1 - 6
CEN
7%
12%
81%
|
16 | 43 | 27 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2019 |
TFC
3 - 4
ASA
96%
3%
1%
|
17 | 5 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Dragon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
EXC
0 - 11
DRA
43%
20%
37%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PIR
2 - 1
DRA
52%
18%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2022 |
AST
1 - 7
DRA
12%
14%
75%
|
29 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 5
DRA
31%
20%
50%
|
29 | 24 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
DRA
2 - 1
PUE
70%
15%
15%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | 0 |