Tai Chung vs Kwai Tsing analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.9%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.8%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.8%
10.3%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tai Chung
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ISK
1 - 1
TCS
43%
25%
33%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
TCS
1 - 1
SHA
32%
23%
45%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
DOU
2 - 0
TCS
53%
22%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SDI
0 - 1
TCS
56%
22%
22%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
TCS
0 - 1
HON
55%
22%
24%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kwai Tsing
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
KWA
0 - 2
SHA
15%
20%
65%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
KWA
1 - 2
WIN
21%
21%
58%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
KWA
1 - 4
HVA
27%
23%
50%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -2 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
ISK
0 - 0
KWA
69%
19%
13%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
KWA
0 - 4
BIU
27%
24%
49%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -2 |