Tahiti vs Fiji analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.7%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tahiti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 1993 |
PYF
3 - 0
FJI
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1992 |
PYF
4 - 2
SLB
51%
26%
24%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 1992 |
AUS
2 - 0
PYF
77%
16%
7%
|
36 | 84 | 48 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1992 |
PYF
0 - 3
AUS
28%
30%
42%
|
36 | 84 | 48 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 1992 |
VUT
1 - 2
PYF
62%
20%
19%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Fiji
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1993 |
FJI
1 - 0
COK
70%
17%
14%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1993 |
PYF
3 - 0
FJI
45%
23%
32%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | -2 |
| 24 May. 1993 |
NZL
5 - 0
FJI
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1993 |
NZL
2 - 0
FJI
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1992 |
VUT
0 - 3
FJI
34%
28%
38%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | +1 |