Taguatinga vs Santa Maria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.3%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
5.7%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taguatinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
CEI
3 - 2
TAG
13%
18%
69%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
TAG
1 - 2
PAR
82%
13%
5%
|
64 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
LUZ
1 - 0
TAG
8%
15%
78%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
TAG
1 - 1
BRA
73%
17%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
GAM
2 - 0
TAG
12%
18%
70%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
DOM
1 - 1
SAN
61%
21%
18%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
BRA
17%
22%
61%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 4
SAN
66%
20%
13%
|
34 | 48 | 14 | +2 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
GAM
13%
20%
67%
|
34 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAN
48%
23%
30%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |