Taguatinga vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-41%
+58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Taguatinga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SOB
1 - 1
TAG
17%
20%
63%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
TAG
0 - 3
BRA
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
TAG
8%
14%
78%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 2
TAG
12%
18%
71%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
TAG
3 - 4
FOR
79%
15%
6%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2019 |
CAP
1 - 0
CEI
18%
21%
61%
|
45 | 31 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
CEI
4 - 0
BFC
81%
13%
6%
|
45 | 10 | 35 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
CEI
1 - 1
DOM
38%
24%
38%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
SIN
2 - 1
CEI
38%
26%
36%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
CEI
4 - 4
APA
30%
27%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | +1 |