Tacuarembó FC vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
56.9%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuarembó FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
ATE
2 - 0
TAC
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
TAC
1 - 1
NAC
22%
26%
52%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
DAN
4 - 5
TAC
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
TAC
3 - 0
CEL
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2009 |
CER
1 - 1
TAC
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PEÑ
3 - 0
RAC
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
CER
1 - 2
PEÑ
22%
25%
54%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
PEÑ
4 - 2
MWA
67%
19%
14%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
ATE
0 - 5
PEÑ
18%
24%
59%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
PEÑ
2 - 3
DAN
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |