Tacoma Defiance vs Sacramento Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
SDL
1 - 0
TAC
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
ORS
3 - 1
TAC
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 3
ARI
18%
25%
56%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
TAC
2 - 1
LVG
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ORS
3 - 1
TAC
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 1
USA
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
EPL
2 - 0
SAC
57%
24%
19%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
LVG
1 - 3
SAC
31%
26%
44%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2021 |
LAG
3 - 3
SAC
50%
25%
26%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAC
1 - 3
SDL
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |