Tacoma Defiance vs Reno 1868 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
60.2%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 4
POR
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
OKC
2 - 1
TAC
61%
22%
18%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
USA
3 - 0
TAC
61%
21%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
ARI
4 - 0
TAC
71%
17%
12%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LVG
5 - 0
TAC
35%
24%
41%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Reno 1868
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2019 |
SAC
1 - 0
REN
32%
22%
46%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
SAC
1 - 4
REN
48%
25%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
REN
2 - 2
TUL
77%
15%
9%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
EPL
1 - 0
REN
41%
26%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
REN
2 - 1
NMU
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |