Tacoma Defiance vs Phoenix Rising analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.9%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.3%
56.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2021 |
TAC
2 - 1
LVG
68%
18%
14%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ORS
3 - 1
TAC
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2021 |
ORA
0 - 3
TAC
51%
24%
25%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SDL
1 - 2
TAC
55%
24%
21%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TAC
3 - 1
ORS
46%
24%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
ARI
3 - 2
NMU
71%
18%
11%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
ORS
0 - 1
ARI
16%
25%
59%
|
62 | 48 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 0
SAC
78%
15%
7%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 1
ORA
75%
16%
9%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
LVG
2 - 2
ARI
13%
21%
66%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | -1 |