A-League Temporada Regular. Jor. 13

Sydney FC vs Melbourne Victory analysis

Sydney FC Melbourne Victory
69 ELO 69
-1.9% Tilt 4.8%
982º General ELO ranking 1022º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
41.9%
Sydney FC
26.3%
Draw
31.8%
Melbourne Victory

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
Sydney FC
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
31.8%
Win probability
Melbourne Victory
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sydney FC
+3%
+13%
Melbourne Victory

Points and table prediction

Sydney FC
Their league position
Melbourne Victory
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
12º
28
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Melbourne City
55
55
100%
Central Coast Mariners
44
44
100%
Adelaide United
42
42
100%
Western Sydney Wanderers
41
41
100%
Sydney FC
38
38
100%
Wellington Phoenix
35
35
100%
Brisbane Roar
30
30
0%
Perth Glory
30
30
0%
Western United FC
30
30
0%
Newcastle Jets
10º
29
29
10º
100%
Melbourne Victory
11º
28
28
11º
100%
Macarthur FC
12º
26
26
12º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sydney FC
Melbourne Victory
Final Series
0% 0%
Play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%

ELO progression

Sydney FC
Melbourne Victory
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sydney FC
Sydney FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2023
MCI
Melbourne City
3 - 2
Sydney FC
SYD
58%
23%
20%
69 77 8 0
18 Feb. 2023
SYD
Sydney FC
1 - 1
Brisbane Roar
BRI
50%
26%
25%
69 66 3 0
11 Feb. 2023
WES
Western Sydney Wanderers
0 - 1
Sydney FC
SYD
42%
27%
31%
69 68 1 0
04 Feb. 2023
SYD
Sydney FC
3 - 2
Central Coast Mariners
CCM
35%
27%
39%
68 72 4 +1
26 Jan. 2023
MEL
Melbourne Victory
1 - 2
Sydney FC
SYD
49%
25%
26%
68 68 0 0

Matches

Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Feb. 2023
MEL
Melbourne Victory
1 - 1
Adelaide United
ADE
37%
25%
38%
69 73 4 0
18 Feb. 2023
MEL
Melbourne Victory
3 - 2
Melbourne City
MCI
30%
26%
45%
68 77 9 +1
12 Feb. 2023
NEW
Newcastle Jets
2 - 1
Melbourne Victory
MEL
38%
26%
36%
68 65 3 0
03 Feb. 2023
MEL
Melbourne Victory
3 - 1
Wellington Phoenix
WPH
42%
25%
33%
68 70 2 0
26 Jan. 2023
MEL
Melbourne Victory
1 - 2
Sydney FC
SYD
49%
25%
26%
68 68 0 0
X