Sydney FC vs Brisbane Roar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
5º
12º
5º
30
5º
11º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 35 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 26 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
WES
0 - 1
SYD
42%
27%
31%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SYD
3 - 2
CCM
35%
27%
39%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2023 |
MEL
1 - 2
SYD
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
WUF
1 - 0
SYD
45%
26%
29%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
PER
2 - 2
SYD
32%
27%
42%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
BRI
1 - 2
CCM
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ADE
2 - 1
BRI
52%
25%
22%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
4 - 0
BRI
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 0
MCI
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
BRI
0 - 1
WPH
38%
27%
36%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |