Sydney FC vs Adelaide United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
SYD
3 - 2
WES
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
SYD
1 - 1
MCI
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
SYD
1 - 3
SYD
6%
15%
79%
|
71 | 32 | 39 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2014 |
MCI
1 - 3
SYD
52%
23%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SYD
3 - 1
WHU
33%
26%
41%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Adelaide United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2014 |
ADE
1 - 1
MEL
43%
25%
32%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BRI
1 - 2
ADE
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
ADE
2 - 0
BRI
46%
25%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ADE
1 - 0
MEL
45%
24%
31%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
ADE
1 - 0
WPH
57%
22%
22%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |