Swit Nowy Dwor vs Olimpia Zambrow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.9%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
8.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+65%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
61
1º
7º
4º
36
4º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
64 | 64 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
61 | 61 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
55 | 55 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
49 | 49 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
45 | 45 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
45 | 45 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
30 | 30 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 25 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swit Nowy Dwor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
PBI
1 - 2
SWI
23%
22%
55%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
SWI
1 - 1
WSI
81%
13%
6%
|
41 | 23 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
LWA
1 - 2
SWI
41%
25%
34%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 3
MLA
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SWI
3 - 0
KSB
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Olimpia Zambrow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
0 - 0
BRA
33%
23%
44%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
UWA
3 - 3
OLI
60%
21%
19%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
OLI
2 - 3
SOK
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LTM
0 - 1
OLI
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
OLI
1 - 1
PEL
35%
24%
41%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |