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Poland Fourth Division. Matchday 32

Swit Nowy Dwor vs Huragan Morag analysis

Swit Nowy Dwor Huragan Morag
7 ELO 7
75% Tilt -1%
11034º General ELO ranking 13538º
102º Country ELO ranking 193º
ELO win probability
68.3%
Swit Nowy Dwor
17.5%
Draw
14.1%
Huragan Morag

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
Swit Nowy Dwor
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.4%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
14.1%
Win probability
Huragan Morag
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Swit Nowy Dwor
+40%
+15%
Huragan Morag

Points and table prediction

Swit Nowy Dwor
Their league position
Huragan Morag
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
30
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Sokół Ostróda
37
67
33%
Legia Warszawa II
36
60
12%
Sokol Aleksandrow
36
62
10%
Swit Nowy Dwor
33
58
10%
Znicz Biała Piska
32
54
8%
Pelikan Lowicz
32
58
7%
Huragan Morag
30
49
7%
Unia Skierniewice
28
50
7%
Concordia Elblag
27
45
12º
7%
Broń Radom
10º
26
48
6%
RKS Radomsko
11º
24
45
11º
7%
Olimpia Zambrow
12º
23
46
10º
6%
Pogon Grod. Mazowiecki
13º
21
43
13º
8%
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
14º
20
37
14º
10%
Ursus Warszawa
15º
19
33
16º
11%
Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie
16º
17
35
15º
10%
Polonia Warszawa
17º
17
32
17º
13%
KS Wasilków
18º
9
20
18º
54%
Expected probabilities
Swit Nowy Dwor
Huragan Morag
Champion
13% 5%
Mid-table
84% 87%
Relegation
3% 8%

ELO progression

Swit Nowy Dwor
SWI
Huragan Morag
HUR
Lechia T. Mazowiecki
LTM
Pelikan Lowicz
PEL
Sokol Aleksandrow
SAL
KS Wasilków
WAS
Next opponents in ELO points