Swindon Town vs Oxford United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
53.8%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
STA
2 - 1
SWI
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
SUN
1 - 0
SWI
68%
20%
13%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SWI
2 - 1
NOR
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
LIN
2 - 2
SWI
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 67 | 16 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
SWI
2 - 1
CRE
28%
25%
47%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Oxford United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
OXF
0 - 0
CHA
51%
26%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
OXF
0 - 0
POS
29%
26%
45%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
MKD
1 - 1
OXF
35%
26%
39%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2021 |
OXF
0 - 1
OPA
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
IPS
0 - 0
OXF
27%
26%
46%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |