Swindon Town vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
EXE
3 - 1
SWI
45%
25%
31%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
CAM
1 - 3
SWI
35%
26%
39%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 3
CHE
56%
23%
21%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
CHE
2 - 1
SWI
25%
24%
51%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
SWI
3 - 2
POR
57%
23%
20%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 0
LIN
25%
26%
49%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
0 - 0
COL
41%
26%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
MOR
2 - 1
EXE
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
CRA
1 - 1
MOR
50%
25%
25%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2018 |
STA
1 - 0
MOR
69%
19%
13%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |