Swindon Supermarine vs Willand Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 1
SWI
15%
22%
63%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 1
MER
78%
14%
8%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
SAL
2 - 1
SWI
28%
23%
50%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SWI
4 - 2
MET
30%
24%
46%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2022 |
GOS
3 - 1
SWI
37%
24%
40%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Willand Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 1
SWI
15%
22%
63%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
WIL
1 - 0
EXM
29%
22%
49%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
WIL
3 - 0
LYM
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
WIL
2 - 1
ILF
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
FRO
3 - 3
WIL
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |