Swindon Supermarine vs Gloucester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.7%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 0
SWI
7%
14%
79%
|
35 | 60 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SWI
2 - 0
TIV
37%
23%
41%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
MER
1 - 3
SWI
22%
22%
56%
|
33 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
SWI
3 - 1
WIM
79%
14%
8%
|
32 | 17 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
KIN
1 - 2
SWI
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Gloucester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
BCA
0 - 3
GLO
8%
13%
79%
|
40 | 6 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
GLO
2 - 2
BLY
60%
22%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2022 |
BOS
1 - 1
GLO
58%
22%
20%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
GLO
1 - 1
CHO
39%
27%
34%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
YOR
1 - 1
GLO
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |