Swindon Supermarine vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
SWI
2 - 2
STO
21%
22%
57%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
LEA
3 - 1
SWI
75%
16%
10%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
MER
1 - 0
SWI
67%
20%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2009 |
SWI
2 - 1
TIV
48%
25%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
EVE
0 - 1
SWI
64%
22%
14%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 2
MER
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2010 |
WHI
1 - 1
BAS
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
3 - 0
HEM
72%
17%
11%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2010 |
BAS
1 - 2
BED
73%
17%
10%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CAM
2 - 2
BAS
47%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |