Swindon Supermarine vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
HEM
1 - 1
SWI
50%
24%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SWI
1 - 0
TIV
47%
26%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
EVE
1 - 0
SWI
33%
26%
40%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2009 |
EBB
2 - 0
SWI
56%
22%
22%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
CLE
1 - 2
SWI
19%
23%
58%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 1
BRA
34%
26%
40%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
0 - 0
CAM
32%
26%
42%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
STO
1 - 1
BAS
52%
23%
25%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
BAS
1 - 0
CLE
62%
22%
17%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
TIV
2 - 1
BAS
51%
25%
24%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -1 |