Swift vs DETO Twenterand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+11%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 66 |
1º
|
96% | |
|
2º
|
42 | 58 |
2º
|
32% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 53 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
|
4º
|
39 | 51 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 52 |
5º
|
13% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 54 |
3º
|
12% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 44 |
8º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 43 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 47 |
7º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 43 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 31 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 29 |
13º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 31 |
12º
|
17% | |
|
|
14º
|
18 | 27 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 25 |
15º
|
26% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 18 |
16º
|
48% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 1% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 99% | 34% |
| Relegation playoffs | 0% | 35% |
| Relegation | 0% | 31% |
ELO progression
SWI
DET
NSC
DED
VOL
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO SWI | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
BER
2 - 2
SWI
46%
27%
27%
|
276 | 266 | -10 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
SWI
1 - 1
FLE
45%
27%
28%
|
276 | 260 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
SDC
0 - 2
SWI
46%
27%
28%
|
274 | 228 | -46 | +2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SWI
2 - 2
NSC
47%
27%
26%
|
274 | 170 | 104 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
URK
2 - 0
SWI
47%
27%
26%
|
276 | 313 | 37 | -2 |
Matches
DETO Twenterand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO DET | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
DET
3 - 1
URK
39%
28%
33%
|
116 | 317 | -201 | +2 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
DED
3 - 1
DET
53%
25%
22%
|
117 | 324 | 207 | -2 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
DET
2 - 4
BUI
45%
27%
28%
|
119 | 114 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
VOL
1 - 3
DET
47%
27%
26%
|
117 | 252 | 135 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
DET
2 - 5
STA
39%
28%
33%
|
119 | 405 | -286 | -2 |