Swift Hesperange vs Struga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
17.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift Hesperange
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
TPE
2 - 0
SWI
28%
25%
47%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 1
SWI
31%
24%
45%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
UNA
1 - 5
SWI
20%
23%
57%
|
72 | 59 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
SWI
3 - 2
TNS
55%
20%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
TNS
1 - 1
SWI
52%
21%
28%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Struga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
3 - 1
SWI
31%
24%
45%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
FCS
2 - 0
GOS
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2023 |
BUD
3 - 4
FCS
53%
23%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 0
BUD
41%
25%
34%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
FCS
1 - 2
ZAL
23%
23%
55%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |