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FAW Championship Gales. Sur, Matchday 26

Swansea University vs Haverfordwest County AFC analysis

Swansea University Haverfordwest County AFC
15 ELO 28
64% Tilt 69%
8716º General ELO ranking 4354º
45º Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
45.1%
Swansea University
20.7%
Draw
34.3%
Haverfordwest County AFC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.1%
Win probability
Swansea University
2.11
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.7%
34.3%
Win probability
Haverfordwest County AFC
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Swansea University
+106%
+104%
Haverfordwest County AFC

Points and table prediction

Swansea University
Their league position
Haverfordwest County AFC
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
56
55
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Swansea University
56
65
48%
Haverfordwest County AFC
55
65
44%
Briton Ferry
47
58
85%
Cambrian & Clydach
40
48
18%
STM Sports
39
51
17%
Ammanford AFC
37
45
22%
Llanelli Town AFC
37
43
20%
Goytre United
36
43
17%
Pontypridd Town
34
41
10º
19%
Afan Lido
10º
34
41
19%
Llantwit Major
11º
27
36
11º
30%
Undy Athletic
12º
23
35
12º
16%
Cwmbran Celtic
13º
22
33
13º
19%
Taffs Well
14º
21
27
14º
42%
Cwmamman United
15º
17
24
15º
39%
Caerau Ely
16º
7
16
16º
85%
Expected probabilities
Swansea University
Haverfordwest County AFC
Champion
48% 54%
Mid-table
52% 46%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Haverfordwest County AFC
HAV
Swansea University
SUF
Goytre United
GOY
Afan Lido
LID
Cwmamman United
CWU
Undy Athletic
UND
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Swansea University
Swansea University
1%
X%
2%
ELO SUF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2020
LLA
Llanelli Town AFC
0 - 2
Swansea University
SUF
46%
27%
28%
222 170 -52 +2
14 Feb. 2020
SUF
Swansea University
3 - 0
Goytre United
GOY
41%
28%
30%
220 282 -62 +2
08 Feb. 2020
PON
Pontypridd Town
1 - 1
Swansea University
SUF
45%
27%
28%
220 240 20 0
25 Jan. 2020
SUF
Swansea University
0 - 1
Prestatyn Town
PRE
39%
28%
33%
222 406 -184 -2
18 Jan. 2020
UND
Undy Athletic
0 - 2
Swansea University
SUF
46%
27%
28%
220 186 -34 +2

Matches

Haverfordwest County AFC
Haverfordwest County AFC
1%
X%
2%
ELO HAV ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Feb. 2020
HAV
Haverfordwest County AFC
2 - 0
Ammanford AFC
AAF
33%
27%
39%
355 782 -427 +2
08 Feb. 2020
HAV
Haverfordwest County AFC
2 - 2
Cwmbran Celtic
CWM
51%
26%
23%
356 188 168 0
25 Jan. 2020
STM
STM Sports
0 - 3
Haverfordwest County AFC
HAV
41%
28%
31%
354 229 -125 +2
18 Jan. 2020
HAV
Haverfordwest County AFC
4 - 1
Cambrian & Clydach
CAM
46%
27%
26%
352 295 57 +2
10 Jan. 2020
LID
Afan Lido
1 - 1
Haverfordwest County AFC
HAV
45%
27%
29%
352 258 -94 0