Swansea City vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
YOR
0 - 0
SWA
38%
27%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
SWA
1 - 0
DAR
59%
23%
18%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2003 |
NOR
2 - 1
SWA
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
SWA
3 - 0
RUS
35%
26%
40%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
SWA
0 - 0
BRO
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
STE
2 - 2
EXE
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 1
STE
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2003 |
STE
2 - 1
STA
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2003 |
TAM
1 - 2
STE
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
STE
2 - 1
STO
50%
24%
26%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |