Swansea City vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.2%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
27.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
REA
4 - 4
SWA
32%
26%
42%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
SWA
1 - 1
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
SWA
2 - 1
DER
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2022 |
MIL
0 - 1
SWA
36%
28%
36%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 4
SWA
40%
27%
33%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
MID
0 - 2
HUR
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
BOU
0 - 0
MID
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MID
0 - 1
HUL
51%
26%
23%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
MID
0 - 1
FUL
25%
26%
50%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
POS
0 - 4
MID
27%
26%
46%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | +1 |