Swansea City vs Cambridge United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.7%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
15.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SWA
3 - 0
BIR
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2019 |
QPR
1 - 3
SWA
25%
26%
49%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
SWA
3 - 2
PNE
57%
23%
21%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
SWA
3 - 1
NOR
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
DER
0 - 0
SWA
39%
27%
35%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Cambridge United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 2
OLD
42%
27%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2019 |
CAM
3 - 2
SCU
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
COL
1 - 2
CAM
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2019 |
BRE
1 - 1
CAM
80%
14%
6%
|
49 | 69 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 0
NEW
24%
27%
50%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |