Swansea City vs Burnley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.7%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MUD
1 - 2
SWA
77%
15%
8%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SWA
0 - 3
VIL
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
REA
1 - 3
SWA
36%
26%
38%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
BOU
3 - 1
SWA
27%
26%
47%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
EXE
0 - 2
SWA
11%
20%
69%
|
83 | 51 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Burnley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
BUR
1 - 3
CHL
12%
20%
68%
|
76 | 92 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
BUR
2 - 2
CEL
39%
27%
34%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2014 |
PNE
2 - 1
BUR
29%
24%
47%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
STA
0 - 1
BUR
16%
20%
64%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
REA
2 - 2
BUR
39%
26%
35%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |