Swansea City vs Brentford analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
8.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
CHA
2 - 0
SWA
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
BHA
0 - 1
SWA
34%
27%
39%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
SWA
4 - 1
LEY
69%
19%
11%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
SWA
1 - 2
YEO
72%
18%
9%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
GIL
1 - 2
SWA
18%
24%
58%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Brentford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
BCF
1 - 0
BRE
58%
24%
19%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
STO
1 - 0
BRE
76%
16%
8%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
BRE
0 - 3
HER
26%
26%
48%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
LIN
3 - 1
BRE
52%
25%
24%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
BRE
2 - 2
BRA
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |