SVL vs Zwaluwen .30 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
38.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SVL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 3
SVL
11%
18%
72%
|
27 | 11 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
SVL
3 - 0
MAR
49%
23%
29%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
DEV
1 - 2
SVL
35%
24%
42%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
SVL
0 - 1
SDV
28%
24%
48%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
ZUI
1 - 1
SVL
69%
17%
14%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Zwaluwen .30
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
HUI
2 - 2
ZWA
56%
22%
22%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ZWA
5 - 1
DEM
72%
16%
12%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
ZWA
0 - 1
BEN
46%
24%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
ZWA
1 - 1
CAS
88%
9%
4%
|
33 | 10 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
TER
1 - 0
ZWA
68%
19%
13%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |