SV Orion vs Wittenhorst analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.5%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
53%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
9º
16º
10º
37
3º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
41 | 41 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
16º
|
20 | 20 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Orion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
HAL
2 - 2
ORI
66%
18%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
ORI
3 - 1
JUL
22%
19%
59%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +3 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GOE
5 - 1
ORI
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
1 - 2
EVV
39%
24%
38%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
2 - 3
DON
24%
21%
56%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Wittenhorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
WIT
1 - 1
DON
39%
24%
37%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
RKV
3 - 2
WIT
29%
23%
48%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
WIT
2 - 0
HVC
71%
16%
13%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
ACH
0 - 1
WIT
44%
25%
31%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
WIT
3 - 1
UNI
41%
24%
36%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | +1 |