SV Orion vs Venray analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
17%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
40
1º
11º
11º
43
2º
10º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
7º
|
21.5% | |
|
10º
|
42 | 45 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
43 | 45 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
10º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
40 | 44 |
11º
|
43.5% | |
|
12º
|
36 | 39 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 26 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
10 | 10 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Orion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
JUL
1 - 1
ORI
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
ORI
1 - 0
SIL
66%
20%
14%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
LON
1 - 1
ORI
15%
19%
67%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
MIN
1 - 4
ORI
18%
20%
62%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
ORI
3 - 1
AWC
55%
22%
23%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Venray
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VEN
1 - 1
SIL
57%
21%
22%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
RKZ
2 - 3
VEN
41%
23%
36%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
VEN
2 - 1
MEE
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
SUS
2 - 0
VEN
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
VEN
3 - 1
BSV
86%
9%
5%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |