Lafnitz II vs Union Gamlitz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.4%
13.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
3º
11º
7º
39
3º
11º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 48 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
36 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 30 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lafnitz II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
SVW
0 - 2
LAF
20%
20%
60%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
LAF
3 - 4
SCB
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
SVF
1 - 0
LAF
20%
20%
60%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -2 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
FUR
0 - 2
LAF
30%
21%
49%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
MET
1 - 0
LAF
28%
22%
51%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -2 |
Matches
Union Gamlitz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
UGA
1 - 1
FUR
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
VOI
3 - 2
UGA
79%
12%
9%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
UGA
2 - 0
ILZ
63%
19%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2022 |
GNA
1 - 1
UGA
26%
21%
54%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
UGA
3 - 1
ALL
18%
18%
64%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +1 |