Horn vs Würmla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
14.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Horn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2008 |
EIS
1 - 0
SVH
19%
23%
58%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
SVH
1 - 1
AWM
41%
24%
35%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
VIE
0 - 0
SVH
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
SVH
0 - 0
WIE
78%
15%
8%
|
46 | 29 | 17 | -1 |
| 29 Feb. 2008 |
RAP
5 - 1
SVH
39%
25%
36%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Würmla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
WUR
3 - 2
FAC
19%
23%
58%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
WUR
0 - 0
SKN
18%
22%
60%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2008 |
SCH
2 - 0
WUR
33%
28%
40%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | -2 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
WUR
0 - 1
WIE
28%
25%
48%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
WUR
1 - 2
ZWE
69%
18%
12%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |