noscript image

Austria Fourth Division. Estiria, Matchday 15

Frauental vs TUS Heiligenkreuz analysis

Frauental TUS Heiligenkreuz
7 ELO 8
6% Tilt 53%
10479º General ELO ranking 8315º
211º Country ELO ranking 141º
ELO win probability
36.3%
Frauental
24.3%
Draw
39.4%
TUS Heiligenkreuz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
Frauental
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
39.4%
Win probability
TUS Heiligenkreuz
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Frauental
+12%
+48%
TUS Heiligenkreuz

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Voitsberg
30
58
23%
Mettersdorf
30
56
13%
Lafnitz II
29
54
12%
Wildon
28
53
11%
SV Union Gnas
26
50
10%
SC Bruck
26
50
9%
SC Fürstenfeld
24
53
8%
Frauental
23
41
9%
Lebring
21
43
8%
Leoben
10º
18
36
11º
10%
TUS Heiligenkreuz
11º
17
38
10º
9%
Union Gamlitz
12º
15
35
12º
10%
Hitthaller St. Michael
13º
14
32
13º
12%
Ilzer SV
14º
10
25
14º
17%
Rottenmann
15º
10
22
15º
19%
Liezen
16º
5
14
16º
44%
Expected probabilities
Frauental
TUS Heiligenkreuz
Champion
4% 2%
Mid-table
63% 48%
Could qualify for next round
27% 36%
Relegation
7% 14%

ELO progression

TUS Heiligenkreuz
HGK
Frauental
SVF
Köflach
KOF
Wildon
SVW
Rottenmann
ROT
TUS Bad Gleichenberg
TBG
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Frauental
Frauental
1%
X%
2%
ELO SVF ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2019
ROT
Rottenmann
2 - 2
Frauental
SVF
47%
27%
26%
121 166 45 0
26 Oct. 2019
SVF
Frauental
1 - 3
Wildon
SVW
42%
27%
31%
122 266 -144 -1
18 Oct. 2019
FUR
SC Fürstenfeld
1 - 2
Frauental
SVF
45%
27%
28%
121 133 12 +1
11 Oct. 2019
GNA
SV Union Gnas
1 - 2
Frauental
SVF
47%
27%
26%
120 176 56 +1
05 Oct. 2019
SVF
Frauental
1 - 1
Union Gamlitz
UGA
42%
28%
30%
120 174 -54 0

Matches

TUS Heiligenkreuz
TUS Heiligenkreuz
1%
X%
2%
ELO HGK ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Nov. 2019
HGK
TUS Heiligenkreuz
1 - 4
SV Union Gnas
GNA
46%
27%
27%
138 176 -38 -2
25 Oct. 2019
UGA
Union Gamlitz
1 - 2
TUS Heiligenkreuz
HGK
47%
27%
26%
137 173 36 +1
18 Oct. 2019
HGK
TUS Heiligenkreuz
2 - 1
Hitthaller St. Michael
ESV
45%
27%
27%
136 154 -18 +1
11 Oct. 2019
SCB
SC Bruck
2 - 2
TUS Heiligenkreuz
HGK
45%
27%
28%
136 140 4 0
05 Oct. 2019
HGK
TUS Heiligenkreuz
2 - 4
Lafnitz II
LAF
41%
28%
31%
137 253 -116 -1