Frauental vs Lebring analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
30.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+19%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 70 |
2º
|
47% | |
|
2º
|
62 | 70 |
1º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 45 |
4º
|
56% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 42 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 39 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 40 |
8º
|
19% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 37 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 37 |
11º
|
24% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 38 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
13º
|
28 | 32 |
13º
|
88% | |
|
14º
|
23 | 25 |
14º
|
65% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 23 |
16º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 24 |
15º
|
34% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 0% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 99% | 91% |
| Relegation playoffs | 1% | 9% |
| Relegation | 0% | 0% |
ELO progression
LEB
SVF
ESV
ILZ
LIE
LAF
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Frauental
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO SVF | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2022 |
VOI
1 - 0
SVF
47%
27%
26%
|
172 | 217 | 45 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
SVF
0 - 5
UGA
46%
27%
27%
|
173 | 173 | 0 | -2 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
SVF
6 - 0
FRO
46%
27%
27%
|
173 | 177 | -4 | +53 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ESV
0 - 3
SVF
46%
27%
27%
|
147 | 129 | -18 | +2 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
SCB
2 - 5
SVF
47%
27%
26%
|
105 | 149 | 44 | -2 |
Matches
Lebring
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO LEB | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2022 |
LBN
4 - 0
LEB
46%
27%
27%
|
185 | 244 | 59 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
LEB
0 - 1
MOO
36%
27%
37%
|
202 | 659 | -457 | -17 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
DLB
0 - 1
LEB
45%
27%
28%
|
176 | 202 | 26 | +26 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
LIE
2 - 0
LEB
45%
27%
29%
|
186 | 84 | -102 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
LEB
2 - 0
ILZ
46%
27%
27%
|
185 | 128 | 57 | +1 |