Estrella Papilon vs Bubali analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.8%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
+152%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BRI
3 - 2
EST
75%
15%
11%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
EST
2 - 1
FAM
38%
23%
39%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
EST
1 - 7
DAK
19%
18%
63%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
EST
0 - 1
NAC
27%
21%
53%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
EST
3 - 3
RIV
52%
20%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Bubali
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BUB
0 - 0
RCA
11%
16%
74%
|
15 | 31 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 3
BUB
91%
7%
3%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2023 |
BUB
2 - 0
SVC
21%
19%
60%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
RIV
6 - 0
BUB
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BUB
1 - 2
ASF
13%
16%
72%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |