SV Dalfsen vs Noordster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
21.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+66%
+11%
Points and table prediction
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
35 | 51 |
1º
|
48% | |
|
2º
|
33 | 48 |
2º
|
15% | |
|
3º
|
29 | 42 |
4º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
28 | 47 |
3º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
27 | 39 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 39 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 40 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 41 |
5º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 38 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 36 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
11º
|
15 | 25 |
12º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
14 | 26 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
|
13º
|
12 | 23 |
13º
|
28% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 10 |
14º
|
86% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
| Champion | 4% | 0% |
| Mid-table | 84% | 11% |
| Relegation playoffs | 9% | 42% |
| Relegation | 3% | 47% |
ELO progression
SVD
VVN
GRC
GOM
SCS
SWZ
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SV Dalfsen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO SVD | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SVD
3 - 3
VVR
46%
27%
26%
|
197 | 130 | 67 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
SVD
0 - 3
VKW
48%
27%
26%
|
198 | 107 | 91 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
GAC
0 - 1
SVD
41%
28%
31%
|
198 | 93 | -105 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
SVD
1 - 1
SWZ
46%
27%
27%
|
198 | 202 | -4 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2019 |
GRC
2 - 4
SVD
41%
28%
31%
|
197 | 73 | -124 | +1 |
Matches
Noordster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO VVN | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
VKW
1 - 0
VVN
46%
27%
27%
|
111 | 109 | -2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VVN
1 - 2
SWZ
45%
27%
29%
|
111 | 204 | -93 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
VVH
2 - 0
VVN
45%
27%
28%
|
112 | 122 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
VVR
0 - 0
VVN
45%
27%
28%
|
112 | 128 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
VVN
3 - 2
VKW
46%
27%
27%
|
112 | 108 | 4 | +1 |